Amerikaanse verkiezingen
Amerikaanse verkiezingen

“We must not exaggerate the president's influence”

While Trump's win is breaking news for many Dutch people, whether received with great cheers or huge outrage, the mood in America is remarkably indifferent. Americanist Peter van der Heiden noticed this during his recent tour of the southern United States. “Many people are fed up with the presidential election.”

Peter van der Heiden, an Americanist at Radboud University, spent three weeks travelling through the southern states in the run-up to the election. He followed Election Day itself from Nashville, capital of Tennessee. “The substantive agendas are not very important,” he reflects on the election race. “It's all about personality. The winner is the candidate who best reflects the presidential image.”

Van der Heiden does not believe that the policy intentions determined the outcome, nor was Kamala Harris undone by her rather meagre agenda. “Her unfamiliarity was more of a problem. No one knew much about her and what she stands for. And she is to blame for that.” The campaign rallies didn’t help her, says Van der Heiden, citing the grandiose shows in which the candidates reinforce their image with catchy one-liners. “This is where Harris falls short. She doesn’t have the presidential look, and the hoped-for mass support from women did not materialise.”

“Many people are fed up”

“Many people are fed up with the presidential election,” says Van der Heiden. While foreign countries are amazed at the lack of vision, in America itself frustration is growing. “Democrats in particular are tired of the constant political spectacle that is staged every four years. What was once an inspiring democratic exercise is now a repetition of the same play, with new actors and little in the way of new content each time.” 

Van der Heiden underlines the indifferent mood with the turnout figures: the Democrats had fifteen million fewer votes compared to 2020, while Trump won three million votes less. “If Harris had been able to keep hold of those fifteen million, she would have won easily.” Incidentally, there’s still a lot of fuss about the turnout figures, he says. “The Democrats don't understand where those votes have gone, although more are still being counted. According to the Republicans, those 15 million votes are just proof that there was rigging last time.”

Peter van der Heiden

Changing political mood

The declining voter turnout is not just a temporary fluctuation, says Van der Heiden, but rather a sign of a changing political mood. "Trust in traditional parties is diminishing, and more and more people are turning away from politics." This trend is most evident at the national level: on election day, many local and regional officials, such as sheriffs, are also elected. "People often get more excited about those roles than about the president."

'The most important leader'

Being president of America may sound impressive, but Van der Heiden wants to qualify the idea of the president as 'the most important leader of the democratic world'. "The president's influence on daily life is quite limited. Decisions on domestic issues, such as education, healthcare, and security, are largely managed by individual states. Only ten percent of legislation is federal."

Of course, the president can exercise power, Van der Heiden notes, highlighting the appointment of Supreme Court justices and foreign policy, where the federal government does play an overarching and decisive role. Trump’s close ties with Israel will impact the course of the conflict, though he cautions against overstating this influence. The issues are too deeply rooted for that, and Trump will also not end the war in Ukraine in a single day.

Rolling back climate policy

According to Van der Heiden, a major area where Trump could make a difference is in climate policy, where he is distinctly distancing himself from international agreements. He suspects that Trump will once again withdraw from the Paris Accords, as he did during his first term. "This approach aligns more closely with American economic interests. He believes that China and Western countries are using the climate debate as a tool to weaken the United States."

The label of Trump as a "fascist in power" doesn’t greatly concern Van der Heiden. "The people he will surround himself with aren’t competent enough to cause real damage." He repeats the shrug he encountered multiple times on his trip. "After four years, he’ll be gone again, and we’ll see what comes next." For those currently worried, he offers some consolation: "After this second term, it's truly over. The constitution does not allow for a third term."

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Current affairs, Politics, Elections